Coronavirus: A Dose of Uncertainty and RiskSubmitted by Prosperity Advisors on February 10th, 2020
by Brent Evans, CFA
Coronavirus: A Dose of Uncertainty and Risk.
The Coronavirus has brought about feelings of fear, uncertainty, and empathy from around the world. What are the impacts to financial markets and your portfolio?
To an extent, risk can be assessed, measured, and managed. Uncertainty is unpredictable, uncontrollable, and cannot be measured. Through this lens, we see Coronavirus as uncertainty, not risk.
Previous incidents such as SARS and Ebola provide examples.
Graphs Courtesy of Camelot Portfolios
Like SARS and Ebola, what we have seen is an initial selloff followed by a rebound, suggesting that investors appear to believe that this will be relatively contained and short-lived. Further, the Chinese government injected significant stimulus and been very clear that it will continue to take such measures to support the economy.
Charts Courtesy of Factset Research Systems